Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Pilar (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Carolina Alves		Maria Sara Popa

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.62	2.11
	1.66	2.13
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
56.4%

Maria Sara Popa
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Maria Sara Popa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Sara Popa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Carolina Alves - Maria Sara Popa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 306. Popa is ranked WTA: 454.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Popa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alves won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
21.09.24	Carolina Alves - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Julia Riera - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
19.09.24	Carolina Alves - Valeriya Strakhova	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Carolina Alves - Maria Victoria Marchesini	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Carolina Alves - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL
- Maria Sara Popa
ITF Tournaments
23.09.24	Maria Sara Popa - Lourdes Ayala	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Sara Popa	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Federica Urgesi - Maria Sara Popa	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Maria Sara Popa - Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.01.24	Maria Sara Popa - Carolina Alves	0:2
02.03.23	Maria Sara Popa - Carolina Alves	0:2
05.10.21	Maria Sara Popa - Carolina Alves	0:2

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