Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Slobozia (Romania), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Federica Urgesi		Maria Sara Popa

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.12	1.62
	2.06	1.7
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.09	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
43.5%

Maria Sara Popa
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federica Urgesi's form might have worsened.

Maria Sara Popa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Sara Popa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Sara Popa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Federica Urgesi - Maria Sara Popa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Urgesi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Popa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popa: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 757. Popa is ranked WTA: 395.

One and the other player are in an unacceptable form.

Popa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Federica Urgesi - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Alessandra Mazzola - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Erika Sema - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Francesca Pace - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Maria Sara Popa
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Maria Sara Popa - Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Briana Szabo - Maria Sara Popa	Canceled ✺
WTA Iasi
21.07.24	Simona Waltert - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Maria Sara Popa - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
WTA Budapest
13.07.24	Maria Sara Popa - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?LWL

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