Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Saint Palais sur Mer (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday


	Carolina Kuhl		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.78	1.89
	1.78	1.96
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.95	Watch
	1.78	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Kuhl
51.9%

Francesca Curmi
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Kuhl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Kuhl's performance.

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesca Curmi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Kuhl than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Kuhl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesca Curmi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carolina Kuhl - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kuhl is ranked WTA: 441. Curmi is ranked WTA: 416.

Kuhl is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Curmi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kuhl could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Kuhl
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Alice Tubello - Carolina Kuhl	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Diana Marcinkevica - Carolina Kuhl	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Lara Schmidt - Carolina Kuhl	Schmidt L. retired ✺
12.08.24	Stephanie Wagner - Carolina Kuhl	Kuhl C. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Kateryna Baindl - Carolina Kuhl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WL??L
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Francesca Curmi - Emma Lene	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Francesca Curmi - Anastasia Abbagnato	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Francesca Curmi - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Francesca Curmi - Anne Schaefer	2:0 ✺
WTA Palermo
13.07.24	Francesca Curmi - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL

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