Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Glasgow, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Francesca Curmi		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.03)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
40.8%

Mona Barthel
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Francesca Curmi - Mona Barthel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 325. Barthel is ranked WTA: 198.

Curmi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barthel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barthel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barthel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Barthel will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Curmi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Lucie Havlickova - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Francesca Curmi - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Darja Semenistaja - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Francesca Curmi	Curmi F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLW?
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Erika Andreeva - Mona Barthel	Andreeva E. walkover ✺
23.10.25	Valentina Steiner - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Amy Sucha - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Mona Barthel - Matilde Jorge	Barthel M. retired ✺
14.10.25	Mona Barthel - Sara Lanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ?WW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Palermo
13.07.24	Francesca Curmi - Mona Barthel	0:2

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