Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Caroline Garcia		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.71	2.14
	1.82	2.08
	1.73	2.1
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.5)	2.08 ↓ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Garcia
54.3%

Madison Keys
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caroline Garcia's form might have worsened.

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Keys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Garcia than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caroline Garcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Keys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	0%	43.5%

Caroline Garcia - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Garcia will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Keys will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garcia: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Garcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Garcia
WTA Doha
16.02.23	Maria Sakkari - Caroline Garcia	2:1 ✺
15.02.23	Karolina Muchova - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA Lyon
05.02.23	Caroline Garcia - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Caroline Garcia - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
03.02.23	Caroline Garcia - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Madison Keys
WTA Dubai
19.02.23	Jasmine Paolini - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
14.02.23	Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
20.01.23	Madison Keys - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
18.01.23	Madison Keys - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
16.01.23	Madison Keys - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
26.05.22	Madison Keys - Caroline Garcia	2:0
WTA Australian Open
21.01.18	Madison Keys - Caroline Garcia	2:0
WTA Wuhan
27.09.16	Caroline Garcia - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
20.04.14	Madison Keys - Caroline Garcia	0:2

Caroline Garcia - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide