Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: DOHA (QATAR) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:45	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:45	SportKlub
Croatia	13:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	13:45	O2 TV Tenis
Finland	14:45	CMore, CMore Sport
France	13:45	beIN Sports
Greece	14:45	Nova Sports
Poland	13:45	CANAL+ Sport
Romania	14:45	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	13:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	13:45	SportKlub


	Madison Keys		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.1
	1.79	2.13
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.07	Watch
	1.72	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
54.5%

Jelena Ostapenko
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Keys won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Australian Open
20.01.23	Madison Keys - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
18.01.23	Madison Keys - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
16.01.23	Madison Keys - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
WTA United Cup
08.01.23	Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
06.01.23	Magda Linette - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Abu Dhabi
08.02.23	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
06.02.23	Danielle Collins - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
23.01.23	Elena Rybakina - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
19.01.23	Kateryna Baindl - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
17.08.22	Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Eastbourne
22.06.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys	Keys M. retired
WTA Charleston
04.04.19	Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Birmingham
17.06.16	Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1

Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko