Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Caroline Werner		Carlota Martinez Cirez

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.31
	1.6	2.41
	1.49	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	2.36 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
60.3%

Carlota Martinez Cirez
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Carlota Martinez Cirez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caroline Werner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlota Martinez Cirez than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlota Martinez Cirez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caroline Werner - Carlota Martinez Cirez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 273. Martinez Cirez is ranked WTA: 352.

In recent matches, Werner has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martinez Cirez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martinez Cirez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Werner might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Werner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlota Martinez Cirez - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Caroline Werner - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lea Boskovic - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Caroline Werner - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Caroline Werner - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW
- Carlota Martinez Cirez
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Polona Hercog - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nadya Kolb - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Caroline Werner - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2

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