Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Caroline Werner		Miriana Tona

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.85	Watch
	1.22	4.85
	1.23	3.8	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.27	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	4.05 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
76.7%

Miriana Tona
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caroline Werner's performance.

Miriana Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miriana Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caroline Werner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miriana Tona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caroline Werner - Miriana Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 234. Tona is ranked WTA: 335.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Werner is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Caroline Werner - Momoko Kobori	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Laura Valentina Villamil Arias - Caroline Werner	0:2
ITF Tournaments
19.03.26	Caroline Werner - Katarina Zavatska	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Caroline Werner - Amandine Hesse	Hesse A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWL?
- Miriana Tona
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Carlota Corte - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Miriana Tona - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Miriana Tona - Berfu Cengiz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Miriana Tona - Abril Cardenas Olivares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW

Caroline Werner - Miriana Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide