Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Funchal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Caroline Werner		Lea Nilsson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.74	2.02
	1.51	2.32	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.34)	2.31 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
59.6%

Lea Nilsson
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caroline Werner's form might have worsened.

Lea Nilsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lea Nilsson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caroline Werner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Nilsson than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lea Nilsson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caroline Werner - Lea Nilsson Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nilsson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 258. Nilsson is ranked WTA: 985.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Werner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Werner might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
WTA Chennai
29.10.25	Janice Tjen - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Thasaporn Naklo - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Riya Bhatia - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Caroline Werner - Teodora Kostovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Lea Nilsson
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Lea Nilsson - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Andre Lukosiute	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Victoria Pohle	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Michika Ozeki - Lea Nilsson	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Lea Nilsson - Sandra Samir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

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