Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Carolina Alves		Miriana Tona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.44	2.58
	1.56	2.47
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.45	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.39)	2.54 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
63.5%

Miriana Tona
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Miriana Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carolina Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miriana Tona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 257. Tona is ranked WTA: 355.

Recent performances by Alves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alves might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alves won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Carolina Alves - Lya Fernandez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Carolina Alves - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.02.26	Louisa Chirico - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Carolina Alves - Sachia Vickery	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW
- Miriana Tona
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Miriana Tona - Abril Cardenas Olivares	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Miriana Tona - Valeriya Strakhova	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Miriana Tona - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Miriana Tona - Isabella Barrera Aguirre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	0:2
13.04.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	2:0
20.03.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	2:0
04.05.24	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	2:0
30.03.24	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	0:2

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