Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bogota - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Miriana Tona		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.41	1.6
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.73)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriana Tona
39.9%

Lia Karatancheva
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriana Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miriana Tona's performance.

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lia Karatancheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miriana Tona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lia Karatancheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Miriana Tona - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tona will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Karatancheva will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tona is ranked WTA: 355. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 291.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Karatancheva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriana Tona
WTA Bogota
28.03.26	Miriana Tona - Berfu Cengiz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Miriana Tona - Abril Cardenas Olivares	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Miriana Tona - Valeriya Strakhova	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW
- Lia Karatancheva
WTA Bogota
28.03.26	Carol Zhao - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Lia Karatancheva - Angelina Voloshchuk	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Carole Monnet - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lia Karatancheva - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW

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