Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Caroline Werner		Xinyu Gao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.91	1.8
	1.84	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
49.1%

Xinyu Gao
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Caroline Werner - Xinyu Gao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 242. Gao is ranked WTA: 175.

Werner is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gao has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
ITF Tournaments
28.11.25	Alevtina Ibragimova - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Vendula Valdmannova - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Briana Szabo - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Caroline Werner - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Caroline Werner - Lea Nilsson	Werner C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWW?
- Xinyu Gao
WTA Jiujiang
25.10.25	Xinyu Gao - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Xinyu Gao - Yidi Yang	2:0 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
18.10.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Janice Tjen - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

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