Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)


	Casper Ruud		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.56	2.6
	1.59	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
62.9%

Gael Monfils
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Monfils will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 8. Monfils is ranked ATP: 45.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruud will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Casper Ruud - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover ✺
08.08.24	Casper Ruud - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WL?WL
- Gael Monfils
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Gael Monfils - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Gael Monfils - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Gael Monfils - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils	2:1
ATP Quito
08.02.18	Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils	1:2

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