Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Casper Ruud		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.65
	2.38	1.64
	2.25	1.68	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.86)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
41.8%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casper Ruud's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casper Ruud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 8. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruud won 3.

Ruud is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aliassime-Auger is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ruud won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover ✺
08.08.24	Casper Ruud - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Casper Ruud - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WLWW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
03.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.22	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Montreal
12.08.22	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Madrid
04.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Miami
21.03.19	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	2:1
ATP Challenger
25.04.18	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	0:2

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