Match Info

Date: 30 April 2021, Friday


	Cem Ilkel		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.59
	2.23	1.67
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.56	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.56)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cem Ilkel
41.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cem Ilkel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cem Ilkel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Cem Ilkel - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Giustino will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Giustino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
27.04.21	Daniel Masur - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
16.04.21	Elias Ymer - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Cem Ilkel - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
12.04.21	Cem Ilkel - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
06.04.21	Mirza Basic - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
27.04.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
24.04.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
22.04.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergiy Stakhovsky	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Lorenzo Giustino - Filip Horansky	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Andrea Collarini - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Cem Ilkel - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide