Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 29, hard - Final

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Cesar Bouchelaghem		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	3.40	1.26
	3.65	1.24
	3.61	1.30
	3.35	1.27	Watch
	3.56	1.28
	3.35	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.4)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesar Bouchelaghem
26.7%

Aziz Dougaz
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesar Bouchelaghem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cesar Bouchelaghem's form might have worsened.

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aziz Dougaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesar Bouchelaghem than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cesar Bouchelaghem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cesar Bouchelaghem - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouchelaghem is ranked ATP: 511. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 524.

Bouchelaghem is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dougaz is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dougaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dougaz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Dougaz will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bouchelaghem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Aziz Dougaz - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cesar Bouchelaghem
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Roan Jones	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Hugo Car	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Josh Manuel	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Nazim Makhlouf	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- Aziz Dougaz
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Jorge Plans - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Nicolas Jadoun - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Edison Ambarzumjan - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Daniele Augenti - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Aziz Dougaz	1:2

Cesar Bouchelaghem - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide