Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 HERAKLION 2 (GREECE), HARD - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Cezar Cretu		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.23	1.58
	2.29	1.6
	2.33	1.58
	2.25	1.57
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	1.57 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
41%

Arthur Gea
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Cezar Cretu - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Gea will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Cretu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gea will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gea to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Guy Den Heijer - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Cezar Cretu - Sidane Pontjodikromo	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Cezar Cretu - Stylianos Christodoulou	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Cezar Cretu - Ofek Shimanov	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Cezar Cretu - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Arthur Gea - Vladyslav Orlov	Orlov V. retired ✺
10.11.23	Yshai Oliel - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Sasa Markovic - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Arthur Gea - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Arthur Gea - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WWWL

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