Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Cezar Cretu		Niels McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.84	2.09
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.77	2.03
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	1.97 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
52.5%

Niels McDonald
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Niels McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Cezar Cretu will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 266. McDonald is ranked ATP: 531.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cretu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Cezar Cretu - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.31%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Cezar Cretu - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Cezar Cretu - Kimmer Coppejans	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLL?
- Niels McDonald
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Niels McDonald - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Niels McDonald - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Niels McDonald - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.06.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0

Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide