Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday


	Cezar Cretu		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.25	1.61	Watch
	2.44	1.65
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.30	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
41.9%

Marvin Moeller
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Moeller (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 289. Moeller is ranked ATP: 274.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moeller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cretu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cezar Cretu - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Marvin Moeller - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.88%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
26.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
26.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Matej Dodig - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	1:2
05.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	2:0

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