Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Chase Ferguson		Daisuke Sumizawa

	1	2
	1.8	1.98
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
50.9%

Daisuke Sumizawa
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Daisuke Sumizawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daisuke Sumizawa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 1002. Sumizawa is ranked ATP: 891.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sumizawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferguson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Chase Ferguson - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Daisuke Sumizawa - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Dingzheng Nima	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Chase Ferguson - Krittin Koaykul	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Ji Sung Nam - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL
- Daisuke Sumizawa
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Hanyi Liu - Daisuke Sumizawa	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Jaden Dewandaka Tan - Daisuke Sumizawa	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Weiwen Pan	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Linang Xiao - Daisuke Sumizawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.01.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Chase Ferguson	0:2

Chase Ferguson - Daisuke Sumizawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide