Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Yinchuan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yinchuan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Chase Ferguson		Nino Ehrenschneider

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Chase Ferguson
44.4%

Nino Ehrenschneider
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nino Ehrenschneider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nino Ehrenschneider than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ehrenschneider (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ferguson is ranked ATP: 604., and Ehrenschneider is ranked ATP: 576..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ehrenschneider could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Sheng Tang - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Zhenxiong Dong - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Minghui Zhang - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL
- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Kai-I Wang - Nino Ehrenschneider	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Lingxi Zhao - Nino Ehrenschneider	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Aaron James Williams	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nino Ehrenschneider
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Georgii Kravchenko	✺

Chase Ferguson - Nino Ehrenschneider