Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Jerry Roddick		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.83	1.87
	1.93	1.89
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.88	1.85
	1.80	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerry Roddick
50.4%

Chase Ferguson
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerry Roddick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerry Roddick than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerry Roddick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jerry Roddick - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferguson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roddick is ranked ATP: 1134. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 646.

Roddick has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferguson is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roddick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerry Roddick
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Jerry Roddick	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Ryota Tanuma	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Yua Taka - Jerry Roddick	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Jerry Roddick	Canceled ✺
31.08.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Jerry Roddick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWW?L
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Sanhui Shin - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Riku Takahata - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Jerry Roddick - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide