Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Goyang (South Korea), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday


	Chengyiyi Yuan		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
	3	1.33
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.31
	3.2	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.24	1.31	Watch
	3.15	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.4)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengyiyi Yuan
29.3%

Haruka Kaji
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengyiyi Yuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chengyiyi Yuan's form might have worsened.

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haruka Kaji's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengyiyi Yuan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chengyiyi Yuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chengyiyi Yuan - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are in a poor body shape now.

Kaji could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kaji will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengyiyi Yuan
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Chengyiyi Yuan - Jiayou Li	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Meiling Wang - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Chengyiyi Yuan - Zongyu Li	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Chengyiyi Yuan - Anastasia Kovaleva	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Zongyu Li - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Mei Yamaguchi - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Aoi Ito - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
02.05.24	Mai Hontama - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Haruka Kaji - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

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