Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brisbane 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Chia Yi Tsao		Mutsumi Uemura

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Chia Yi Tsao
68.9%

Mutsumi Uemura
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chia Yi Tsao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mutsumi Uemura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chia Yi Tsao than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutsumi Uemura than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Tsao is ranked WTA: 929. Uemura is ranked WTA: 1020.

Tsao has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uemura is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tsao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tsao is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chia Yi Tsao
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Chia Yi Tsao - Belle Thompson	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Chia Yi Tsao - Renee Alame	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Chia Yi Tsao - Kimiko Cooper	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Chia Yi Tsao - Natsuho Arakawa	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Ya Yi Yang - Chia Yi Tsao	Yang Y. Y. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWL?
- Mutsumi Uemura
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Sarah Mildren - Mutsumi Uemura	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Lily Taylor	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Ava Beck	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Rianna Alame - Mutsumi Uemura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Chia Yi Tsao - Mutsumi Uemura