Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brisbane 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Sarah Mildren		Mutsumi Uemura

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.63	2.12
	1.74	2.11
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.72	2.08
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.23)	2.08 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Mildren
55.4%

Mutsumi Uemura
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Mildren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarah Mildren's performance.

Mutsumi Uemura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mutsumi Uemura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Mildren than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarah Mildren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutsumi Uemura than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutsumi Uemura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarah Mildren - Mutsumi Uemura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mildren is ranked WTA: 1352. Uemura is ranked WTA: 1020.

Mildren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uemura's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uemura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uemura could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Mildren
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Jizelle Sibai - Sarah Mildren	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Himari Sato - Sarah Mildren	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Sarah Mildren - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Nanari Katsumi - Sarah Mildren	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Lily Taylor - Sarah Mildren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW
- Mutsumi Uemura
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Lily Taylor	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Ava Beck	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Rianna Alame - Mutsumi Uemura	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Belle Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

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