Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Mogyorod, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Chiara Fornasieri		Rebecca Munk Mortensen

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.78	1.92
	1.67	2.24
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.23)	2.08 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiara Fornasieri
55.3%

Rebecca Munk Mortensen
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiara Fornasieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chiara Fornasieri's performance.

Rebecca Munk Mortensen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Munk Mortensen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiara Fornasieri than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chiara Fornasieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Munk Mortensen than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Munk Mortensen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chiara Fornasieri - Rebecca Munk Mortensen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fornasieri is ranked WTA: 1049. Munk Mortensen is ranked WTA: 653.

Fornasieri is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Munk Mortensen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fornasieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiara Fornasieri
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Ingrid Vojcinakova	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Giulia Safina Popa - Chiara Fornasieri	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sara Victoria Balan - Chiara Fornasieri	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Eva Maria Ionescu	Ionescu E. M. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Chiara Fornasieri - Laura Brunkel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLW?W
- Rebecca Munk Mortensen
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Luca Kalman - Rebecca Munk Mortensen	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Emma Kamper Malmkjaer - Rebecca Munk Mortensen	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Didi Bredberg Canizares	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Iva Marinkovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

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