Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Christian Sigsgaard		Luka Talan Lopatic

	1	2
	1.2	4.18
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.2	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.37)	4.02 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Sigsgaard
77%

Luka Talan Lopatic
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Sigsgaard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Sigsgaard's performance.

Luka Talan Lopatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luka Talan Lopatic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Sigsgaard than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Sigsgaard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Talan Lopatic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Talan Lopatic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Christian Sigsgaard - Luka Talan Lopatic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sigsgaard is ranked ATP: 633. Talan Lopatic is ranked ATP: 1594.

Sigsgaard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Talan Lopatic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sigsgaard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sigsgaard is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Sigsgaard
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Milos Karol - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alec Deckers - Christian Sigsgaard	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Max Schoenhaus - Christian Sigsgaard	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Christian Sigsgaard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Luka Talan Lopatic
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Luca Parenti - Luka Talan Lopatic	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Luka Talan Lopatic - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Lucca Helguera Casado - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Luka Talan Lopatic - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Christian Sigsgaard - Luka Talan Lopatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide