Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SURBITON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 June 2023, Monday


	Christopher OConnell		Denis Kudla

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.74	2.05
	1.81	2.05
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	2.06 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
54.5%

Denis Kudla
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christopher OConnell's performance.

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Kudla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher OConnell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Kudla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	0%	91.2%

Christopher OConnell - Denis Kudla Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Kudla will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

O'Connell is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kudla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kudla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

O'Connell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches O'Connell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Christopher OConnell - Taro Daniel	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
25.05.23	Christopher OConnell - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Christopher OConnell	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
23.05.23	Nino Serdarusic - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LL?WL
- Denis Kudla
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Denis Kudla	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Jason Jung - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Marc Polmans - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
27.07.21	Christopher OConnell - Denis Kudla	2:1
ATP Challenger
10.10.17	Denis Kudla - Christopher OConnell	0:2

Christopher OConnell - Denis Kudla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide