Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75+H Saint-Gaudens (France), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Claire Liu		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.36
	1.6	2.29
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.02)	2.27 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
59.2%

Jessika Ponchet
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Claire Liu's performance.

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Claire Liu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Liu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponchet is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Liu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Liu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Claire Liu - Emeline Dartron	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Claire Liu - Conny Perrin	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Claire Liu - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Claire Liu - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Jessika Ponchet - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Jessika Ponchet - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Jessika Ponchet - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Alize Cornet - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Claire Liu - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide