Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Saint Malo (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Lara M. (Fra)


	Emiliana Arango		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.56
	1.51	2.63
	1.53	2.38
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.02)	2.46 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
61.8%

Jessika Ponchet
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emiliana Arango's performance.

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emiliana Arango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ponchet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arango is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ponchet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponchet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arango won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Astra Sharma - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Emiliana Arango - Dayana Yastremska	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Emiliana Arango - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Greetje Minnen - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Emiliana Arango - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWW
- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Jessika Ponchet - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.24	Jessika Ponchet - Robin Montgomery	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Jessika Ponchet - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.24	Jessika Ponchet - Audrey Albie	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Talia Gibson - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cluj Napoca
17.10.23	Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet	2:0
WTA Wimbledon
27.06.23	Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet	2:1

Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide