Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: LIMOGES (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday


	Clara Tauson		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.55
	1.29	3.15
	1.32	3.49
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.18	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)	3.33 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Tauson
71.7%

Varvara Gracheva
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Tauson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clara Tauson's performance.

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Gracheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clara Tauson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.6%	0%	4.4%

Clara Tauson - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: Clara Tauson will win (43 of 45 users predict this - 95.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.54% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tauson is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tauson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tauson is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tauson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Tauson
ATP Challenger
14.12.22	Marta Kostyuk - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
13.12.22	Kristina Mladenovic - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
09.12.22	Clara Tauson - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
08.12.22	Anna Blinkova - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
06.12.22	Clara Tauson - Sabine Lisicki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
14.12.22	Audrey Albie - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
13.12.22	Varvara Gracheva - Alize Cornet	2:1 ✺
08.12.22	Clara Burel - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
06.12.22	Tessah Andrianjafitrimo - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.05.21	Clara Tauson - Varvara Gracheva	1:2

Clara Tauson - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide