Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Ann Li		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.64	2.34
	1.51	2.57	Watch
	1.63	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.48)	2.38 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
60.1%

Varvara Gracheva
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Li (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 42. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.

Recent form of Li has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gracheva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Li will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Gracheva - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Emma Raducanu - Ann Li	Raducanu E. retired ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Ann Li - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Priscilla Hon - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?LLW
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Iva Jovic - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.10.22	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:1
WTA Tenerife
20.10.21	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:0

Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide