Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Alcala de Henares, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alcala de Henares 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Claudia Ferrer Perez		Adithya Karunaratne

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Claudia Ferrer Perez
34.6%

Adithya Karunaratne
65.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claudia Ferrer Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Adithya Karunaratne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claudia Ferrer Perez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adithya Karunaratne than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ferrer Perez is ranked WTA: 864. Karunaratne is ranked WTA: 909.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Karunaratne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karunaratne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claudia Ferrer Perez
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Melissa Boyden	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Milana Maslenkova	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Neus Torner Sensano	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Adithya Karunaratne
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Marta Soriano Santiago	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Mila Masic	Masic M. retired ✺
23.10.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Carolyn Ansari	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Briana Szabo	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Eleejah Inisan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWL

Claudia Ferrer Perez - Adithya Karunaratne