Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NOUMEA (NEW CALEDONIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Colin Sinclair		Ajeet Rai

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.2
	1.6	2.14
	1.69	2.2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.61	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.44)	2.17 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colin Sinclair
57.1%

Ajeet Rai
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colin Sinclair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colin Sinclair's form might have worsened.

Ajeet Rai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajeet Rai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colin Sinclair, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajeet Rai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Colin Sinclair - Ajeet Rai Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sinclair will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Rai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinclair: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinclair is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rai in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sinclair could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colin Sinclair
ATP Challenger
24.11.22	Colin Sinclair - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
23.11.22	Yuichi Sugita - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
21.11.22	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Colin Sinclair - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
19.11.22	Colin Sinclair - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- Ajeet Rai
ITF Tournaments
20.12.22	Ajeet Rai - Rob Reynolds	Rai A. retired ✺
19.12.22	Ajeet Rai - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Ajeet Rai - James Watt	2:0 ✺
16.12.22	Ajeet Rai - Kody Pearson	2:1 ✺
15.12.22	Ajeet Rai - Finn Reynolds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WWWW

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