Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Colin Sinclair		Luca Nardi

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Colin Sinclair
40.3%

Luca Nardi
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colin Sinclair has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colin Sinclair's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colin Sinclair that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Sinclair is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sinclair could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colin Sinclair
ITF Tournaments
27.03.21	Lucas Catarina - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
26.03.21	Christian Langmo - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
25.03.21	Colin Sinclair - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
24.03.21	Colin Sinclair - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
18.03.21	Colin Sinclair - Alexander Kotzen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Luca Nardi
ITF Tournaments
20.04.21	Luca Nardi - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.21	Akira Santillan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Luca Nardi - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
09.03.21	Yuichi Sugita - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.21	Jack Draper - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL

Colin Sinclair - Luca Nardi