Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Colton Smith		James Kent Trotter

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.2
			Watch
	1.31	3.34
			Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.59)	3.28 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
71.5%

James Kent Trotter
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.

James Kent Trotter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Kent Trotter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Kent Trotter than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Kent Trotter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colton Smith - James Kent Trotter Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trotter (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 144. Trotter is ranked ATP: 202.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Trotter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smith is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Colton Smith - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Colton Smith - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Lloyd Harris - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW
- James Kent Trotter
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	James Kent Trotter - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Sho Shimabukuro - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	James Kent Trotter - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.25	James Kent Trotter - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	James Kent Trotter - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Colton Smith - James Kent Trotter	1:2

Colton Smith - James Kent Trotter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide