Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Colton Smith		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.62	2.2
	1.55	2.5
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
59.4%

Yosuke Watanuki
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Watanuki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 135. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 179.

Smith is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Watanuki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Colton Smith - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Colton Smith - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	James McCabe - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Thiago Monteiro	Monteiro T. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1

Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide