Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Bakersfield, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bakersfield 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Connie Ma		Astra Sharma

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Connie Ma
50.5%

Astra Sharma
49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Connie Ma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Astra Sharma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connie Ma than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Sharma is ranked WTA: 576..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Ma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ma has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connie Ma
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Diletta Cherubini - Connie Ma	0:2 ✺
22.10.26	Aspen Schuman - Connie Ma	Schuman A. Retired ✺
18.10.26	Annika Penickova - Connie Ma	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Connie Ma - Lea Ma	2:1 ✺
16.10.26	Maria Sholokhova - Connie Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?WWW
- Astra Sharma
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Astra Sharma - Lea Ma	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Astra Sharma - Imogen Haddad	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Astra Sharma - Kaitlyn Carnicella	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Madison Brengle - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Astra Sharma - Bella Bergkvist Larsson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connie Ma
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Kylie Collins - Connie Ma	✺
- Astra Sharma
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Sloane Stephens - Astra Sharma	✺

Connie Ma - Astra Sharma