Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Constant Lestienne		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)	2.18 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
57.1%

Jesper De Jong
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jesper De Jong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jesper De Jong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Constant Lestienne - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 12 - 75%). De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches De Jong is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lestienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Liam Broady - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Michael Mmoh - Constant Lestienne	Mmoh M. retired ✺
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Hugo Gaston - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 W??WW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Michael Mmoh - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Lukas Klein - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Johannus Monday - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Marsel Ilhan - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
18.10.22	Constant Lestienne - Jesper De Jong	2:0

Constant Lestienne - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide