Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ST. TROPEZ (FRANCE), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	Constant Lestienne		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.68
	2.23	1.69
	2.1	1.67
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
41.5%

Sebastian Ofner
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Hugo Gaston - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Lucas Pouille - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Daniel Altmaier - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Dominik Koepfer - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
21.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.04.22	Sebastian Ofner - Constant Lestienne	2:0

Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide