Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia (Italy), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Constant Lestienne		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.23	1.38
	3.33	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
28.8%

Mattia Bellucci
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constant Lestienne's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Constant Lestienne - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lestienne is ranked ATP: 172. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 106.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Theo Papamalamis	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Hynek Barton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Maxime Janvier - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Jerome Kym - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Gregoire Barrere - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL

Constant Lestienne - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide