Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain) - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Reales R. (Esp)


	Constant Lestienne		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.2	3.85	Watch
	1.32	3.47
	1.32	3.47
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.26	3.66	Watch
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.69 ↑ (3.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
74.6%

Michael Geerts
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Constant Lestienne - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Geerts will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Geerts is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lestienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lestienne is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Halle
16.06.24	Oscar Otte - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Louis Wessels - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
18.05.24	Constant Lestienne - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Constant Lestienne - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Corentin Denolly - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Michael Geerts - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.06.24	Arthur Bouquier - Michael Geerts	Bouquier A. retired ✺
15.06.24	Pedro Vives Marcos - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.07.22	Michael Geerts - Constant Lestienne	1:2

Constant Lestienne - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide