Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Blois (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lalaoui I. (Fra)


	Michael Geerts		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	1.98	1.86
	1.98	1.86
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
45.1%

Vilius Gaubas
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Michael Geerts - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Gaubas will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Geerts is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Geerts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
16.06.24	Arthur Bouquier - Michael Geerts	Bouquier A. retired ✺
15.06.24	Pedro Vives Marcos - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Roberto Chacon Huertas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Nico Rating - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 ?WWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
29.05.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
27.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

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