Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Corentin Denolly		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.3	Watch
	3.22	1.36
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
30.2%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Corentin Denolly - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 321. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 277.

Denolly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sanchez Jover is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sanchez Jover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sanchez Jover is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Denolly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
16.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Max Alcala Gurri	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
15.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
01.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.02.24	Corentin Denolly - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2
15.09.21	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Corentin Denolly	2:0

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