Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.37	2.93	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.56)	3.04 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
69.4%

Corentin Denolly
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Denolly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesco Maestrelli - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 242. Denolly is ranked ATP: 295.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Maestrelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maestrelli is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
12.01.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Jie Cui - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Christian Langmo - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLW?L
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
11.01.25	Thanaphat Boosarawongse - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Corentin Denolly - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
31.12.24	Corentin Denolly - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Henri Squire - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWLW

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