Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Corentin Denolly		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.69	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
34.7%

Dmitry Popko
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Corentin Denolly - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 269. Popko is ranked ATP: 159.

Recent matches Denolly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Popko is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Denolly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Popko will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Popko to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.5%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Patrick Maloney	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Brandon Holt - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Philip Henning - Dmitry Popko	✺

Corentin Denolly - Dmitry Popko