Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Dmitry Popko		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.38)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
44.6%

Alexis Galarneau
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dmitry Popko's performance.

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dmitry Popko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dmitry Popko - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popko is ranked ATP: 175. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 162.

Popko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	James Duckworth - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Robin Catry - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Dmitry Popko - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide