Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Corentin Denolly		Stefan Adrian Andreescu

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	2.02	1.81
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
48.4%

Stefan Adrian Andreescu
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Stefan Adrian Andreescu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Adrian Andreescu than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Corentin Denolly - Stefan Adrian Andreescu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Andreescu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 322. Andreescu is ranked ATP: 561.

In recent matches, Denolly has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Andreescu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Denolly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefan Adrian Andreescu - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Sandro Kopp	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Matthew Donald - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Carles Hernandez - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Marcel Zielinski - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Stefan Adrian Andreescu
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Mihai Razvan Marinescu	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Matei Florin Breazu - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Corentin Denolly - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:1

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