Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Corentin Moutet		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.43
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.93	1.41	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.12)	1.41 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
32.4%

Jacob Fearnley
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Corentin Moutet - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 71. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 99.

Moutet is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fearnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fearnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fearnley is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fearnley to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	Jacob Fearnley - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Jacob Fearnley - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Daniel Masur - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
29.09.24	Harold Mayot - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?WW

Corentin Moutet - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide