Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday


	Corentin Moutet		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.63	2.23	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.63	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)	2.22 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
57%

Roberto Carballes Baena
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 69. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 55.

Moutet is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 2.33.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moutet won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Marton Fucsovics - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LL?LW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
26.02.24	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Adelaide 2
09.01.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Corentin Moutet	1:2
ATP Roma
12.09.20	Roberto Carballes Baena - Corentin Moutet	Carballes Baena R. retired
ATP Challenger
03.01.17	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide